Monagas vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
DEP
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 2
ATP
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
CFC
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 0
TRU
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
CFC
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 0
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |