Apertura Venezuela Final
Global 2-2
Monagas vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 3
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
ZAM
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MON
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
CFC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
ANZ
0 - 0
CFC
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 0
ANZ
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CFC
4 - 0
TRU
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |