Monagas vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
MIN
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
ESC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 0
MON
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
TRU
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
URE
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFC
27%
29%
45%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CFC
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 0
ZUL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |