Monagas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
DEP
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
DEP
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
YAR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
2 - 2
CAR
7%
13%
81%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |