Monagas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 2
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
UCV
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
APC
0 - 2
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
ZUL
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
31%
30%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 3
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
ZUL
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |