Monagas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
TAC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 0
GVA
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
MON
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
GVA
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
POR
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MET
2 - 2
ARA
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAR
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |