Monagas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 1
MON
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CFC
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
ZAM
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARA
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |