Europa League 1/32
Global 5-1
Monaco vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
MON
2 - 2
BET
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
STR
1 - 2
MON
28%
28%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
RBC
1 - 1
WIL
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
WIL
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 2
RKC
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 4
PSV
25%
24%
50%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |