Champions League 1/16
Global 2-1
Monaco vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
MPL
4 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
MON
4 - 1
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
SOC
0 - 0
MON
44%
29%
28%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
65%
22%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1988 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
KAA
0 - 1
VAL
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
VAL
3 - 2
KRR
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
KEF
1 - 3
VAL
34%
27%
38%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1988 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
VAL
4 - 0
VIK
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |