Monaco vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
MON
2 - 0
REI
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
STR
3 - 0
MON
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
STL
0 - 0
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
MON
3 - 2
GIR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
VAL
2 - 1
PSG
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
LYO
1 - 2
VAL
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
SOC
0 - 1
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |