Monaco vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
LEN
2 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
MON
3 - 3
ASN
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
NÎM
4 - 3
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
MON
1 - 1
GIR
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1973 |
STR
3 - 1
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
TRO
2 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
BAS
1 - 0
TRO
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
TRO
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
SOC
2 - 0
TRO
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1973 |
TRO
4 - 1
LEN
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |