Monaco vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
3º
26
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
55.5% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
21% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
12% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
BRE
65%
20%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STR
1 - 3
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 0
TFC
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
REN
0 - 2
TFC
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
REI
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MPL
0 - 3
TFC
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |