Monaco vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 3
MON
23%
26%
52%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
GAZ
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MON
10 - 2
SJB
84%
14%
2%
|
84 | 27 | 57 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
REI
1 - 3
TFC
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 5
TFC
7%
16%
76%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |