Monaco vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 1
MON
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
QUE
0 - 2
MON
7%
18%
75%
|
87 | 42 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LYO
0 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 0
LYO
17%
24%
58%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
TFC
17%
25%
58%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 4
NAN
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
LMU
2 - 0
TFC
44%
28%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |