Monaco vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
58%
23%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
PSG
0 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
65%
22%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
LHA
1 - 1
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1986 |
MON
2 - 0
SOC
61%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
TFC
1 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
ASN
2 - 0
TFC
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 0
LHA
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
PSG
2 - 3
TFC
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
5 - 1
TFC
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |