Monaco vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
VAL
0 - 0
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1963 |
MON
5 - 3
RAC
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
SED
4 - 0
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
MON
4 - 2
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
NAN
1 - 3
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
TFC
0 - 1
GIR
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1963 |
TFC
2 - 1
VAL
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
RAC
1 - 1
TFC
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
TFC
2 - 0
SED
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
STR
1 - 1
TFC
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |