Europa League Last 16
Global 2-4
Monaco vs Torpedo Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1990 |
REN
1 - 1
MON
20%
34%
46%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
MON
2 - 2
ASN
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1990 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1990 |
BRE
1 - 2
MON
40%
30%
30%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
MON
1 - 0
SOC
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1990 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
SEV
2 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
TOR
3 - 1
SEV
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
GAI
1 - 1
TOR
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
TOR
4 - 1
GAI
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |