Monaco vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
3º
31
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
55.5% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
21% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League
|
12% | 3.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STR
1 - 3
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
ANG
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
CRV
71%
18%
12%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MPL
3 - 1
BRE
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
NIC
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
REI
1 - 2
BRE
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEV
9%
17%
75%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |