Monaco vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
7º
2º
3
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
12% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
62% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
8% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 33.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
GEN
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 3
MON
38%
24%
39%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CER
63%
21%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 3
ASS
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GET
1 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
5 - 3
ASS
20%
22%
57%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 2
ASS
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
VIL
16%
20%
63%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |