Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-5
Monaco vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
MON
3 - 3
AJA
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LMU
0 - 1
MON
15%
24%
62%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
RMA
4 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
SOC
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
CHA
81%
13%
5%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ALB
1 - 2
RMA
8%
18%
74%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
RMA
5 - 1
SEV
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
RMA
4 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ATH
4 - 2
RMA
20%
23%
57%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
RMA
2 - 3
ZAR
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |