Monaco vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
3º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 99.5% |
|
Champions League
|
55.5% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
21% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
12% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
REI
0 - 0
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 0
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
TFC
66%
20%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
LYO
64%
19%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
RBS
0 - 3
PSG
10%
16%
74%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 0
PSG
11%
17%
73%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
NAN
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
PSG
68%
17%
14%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | +1 |