Monaco vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1999 |
MON
2 - 1
PSG
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 1
MON
17%
26%
58%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
LEN
1 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
MON
1 - 0
CAE
77%
16%
8%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MON
0 - 1
LYO
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1999 |
MON
2 - 1
PSG
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
THO
1 - 2
PSG
2%
14%
84%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASN
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
LOR
2 - 0
PSG
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |