Monaco vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
SOC
3 - 1
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
MON
3 - 2
MET
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
REI
1 - 1
MON
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MON
1 - 0
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
NAN
1 - 1
MON
75%
16%
8%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
PSG
1 - 2
LYO
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
PSG
1 - 0
SOC
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
MET
2 - 0
PSG
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
PSG
2 - 4
REI
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
ANG
3 - 1
PSG
31%
29%
41%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |