Monaco vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
PSG
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 0
MON
14%
24%
62%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LYO
0 - 1
GUI
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 1
LYO
17%
24%
60%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
LYO
3 - 0
GIR
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BOU
0 - 5
LYO
4%
14%
82%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LYO
3 - 0
MPL
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |