Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
MON
2 - 1
FCR
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
SFP
2 - 2
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
MON
5 - 1
ANG
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MON
0 - 1
ASN
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
GIR
0 - 1
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
NIC
2 - 4
TFC
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
NIC
3 - 3
REN
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1963 |
NIC
3 - 5
LYO
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1963 |
REI
4 - 2
NIC
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ANG
3 - 0
NIC
49%
22%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |