Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
GRE
0 - 1
MON
22%
22%
57%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
RAC
2 - 3
MON
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
MON
1 - 0
STR
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
MAR
2 - 4
MON
32%
24%
45%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
MON
1 - 0
LYO
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASN
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
NIC
3 - 1
LEN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
RAC
3 - 4
NIC
76%
14%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
NIC
2 - 1
SED
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
STR
7 - 0
NIC
43%
24%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |