Monaco vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
MON
2 - 1
SOC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
MON
3 - 3
VCF
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
STL
3 - 3
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
MON
1 - 2
ASS
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
AUX
0 - 0
NAN
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
NAN
2 - 0
LIN
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
NAN
3 - 0
VAL
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
STR
1 - 2
NAN
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |