Monaco vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 4
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
SOC
1 - 1
MON
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
AJA
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
CAE
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 2
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BFC
0 - 3
ASN
4%
11%
85%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASN
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |