Monaco vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
NAN
2 - 3
MON
36%
29%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
26%
29%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
PSG
55%
26%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 1
MON
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 1
MON
40%
28%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
ASN
3 - 0
USB
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ASN
4 - 1
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |