Monaco vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 2
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
NIC
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 5
MON
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MET
2 - 1
DIJ
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
MAR
22%
26%
52%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 1
MET
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MET
2 - 0
MPL
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |