Monaco vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
PSG
1 - 2
MON
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
MON
3 - 1
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
LEN
2 - 3
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
MON
4 - 0
STL
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
SOC
3 - 2
MON
55%
22%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
4 - 0
MET
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
ASN
0 - 0
MET
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 0
LYO
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
REI
0 - 0
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |