Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 6-6
Monaco vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
NAN
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 4
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 2
MON
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 3
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MID
0 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
71%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 1
HUR
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 3
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |