Champions League Last 16
Global 2-2
Monaco vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
TFC
1 - 1
MON
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LOK
2 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
MON
4 - 0
MPL
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
FCR
1 - 1
LOK
34%
28%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LOK
2 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 0
LOK
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
3 - 2
DYN
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
LOK
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |