Monaco vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 4
PSG
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 3
MON
12%
19%
70%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
MAC
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
4 - 0
NAN
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
LIL
25%
29%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 0
RED
65%
23%
12%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |