Monaco vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
PSG
1 - 2
MON
57%
22%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 2
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
MON
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
MET
4 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 1
SOC
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
STR
3 - 0
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 0
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
LIL
5 - 1
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |