Monaco vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LYO
2 - 3
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SOC
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 0
MON
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
MON
3 - 2
REI
60%
24%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NÎM
3 - 3
LEN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
LEN
3 - 0
ARL
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
LEN
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 2
TOU
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 3
LEN
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |