Monaco vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 2
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
MPL
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 4
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 1
LEN
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 2
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 1
LEN
21%
28%
51%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |