Monaco vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1996 |
FCM
0 - 4
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
30%
28%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
LYO
0 - 0
LEN
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
LEN
0 - 0
AUX
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
AUX
2 - 0
LEN
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
STR
1 - 2
LEN
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1995 |
LEN
0 - 1
SLP
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |