Monaco vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1965 |
LYO
1 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
MON
0 - 0
CAN
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
MON
0 - 0
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SOC
2 - 1
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1965 |
REN
0 - 1
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
LEN
0 - 1
SOC
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SED
1 - 3
LEN
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
NÎM
4 - 5
LEN
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |