Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-6
Monaco vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1998 |
NAN
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
JUV
4 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
MON
1 - 0
GUI
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
PSG
1 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
MUD
1 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
JUV
2 - 0
PIA
83%
13%
5%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
JUV
4 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
JUV
4 - 1
ACM
65%
20%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 2
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |