Monaco vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
7º
2º
6
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
12% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
62% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
8% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 3
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LYO
0 - 2
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
ASS
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
GEN
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 0
LHA
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LHA
3 - 1
AUX
32%
26%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
LHA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 4
PSG
9%
16%
75%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 6
RTV
23%
24%
54%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |