Monaco vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
GIR
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NÎM
0 - 2
MON
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 3
GUI
8%
19%
74%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ARL
0 - 2
GUI
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
PSG
14%
21%
65%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |