Monaco vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
GIR
67%
20%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
24%
28%
49%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
DEP
0 - 5
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
MON
2 - 0
REN
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 0
MON
21%
28%
52%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
LHA
63%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 0
GUI
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
LMU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
REI
3 - 2
GUI
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
GUI
4 - 2
IST
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |