Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Monaco vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
LIL
3 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MON
2 - 1
NIC
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
SHA
2 - 1
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MON
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
MON
3 - 0
ASN
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
SHA
2 - 1
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCB
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 0
SHA
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
SHA
1 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
JUV
3 - 0
SHA
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |