Champions League Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Monaco vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
27%
27%
47%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
RMA
35%
24%
41%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
MON
3 - 3
AJA
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LMU
0 - 1
MON
15%
24%
62%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
RMA
4 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
EVE
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
ASV
3 - 2
CHL
24%
27%
50%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
MID
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TOT
0 - 1
CHL
29%
26%
46%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |