Monaco vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NAN
1 - 1
MON
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
PSG
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ASS
4 - 0
MON
41%
28%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MON
3 - 0
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CAE
3 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAE
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 1
CAE
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
STR
1 - 4
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 2
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |