Monaco vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MON
0 - 1
LYO
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
MON
1 - 1
TFC
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1998 |
MON
3 - 0
ASN
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
STR
1 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
57%
24%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1998 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
CAE
3 - 1
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |