Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Monaco vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1989 |
MON
2 - 0
GIR
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
PSG
2 - 1
MON
46%
29%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
CAN
0 - 0
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
SPO
2 - 0
MON
32%
32%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 0
TIR
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
FEI
1 - 0
BEL
38%
31%
31%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
37%
31%
31%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |