Europa League 1/16
Global 5-5
Monaco vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 2
MON
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 3
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
PSG
26%
22%
53%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 2
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
AUX
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 3
M05
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 3
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 3
LEV
34%
24%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 0
LEV
20%
22%
59%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 2
BVB
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |