Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
ASS
3 - 2
MON
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
MON
1 - 1
NÎM
35%
28%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
MON
4 - 2
ASN
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
RED
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 0
PSG
49%
22%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
MET
2 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
BAS
3 - 1
REI
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
SOC
6 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
BAS
2 - 0
ANG
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |